Washington Capitals vs Islanders: What We Have Learned Through Two Games

Alex Ovechkin, Washington Capitals (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
Alex Ovechkin, Washington Capitals (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
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T.J. Oshie, Washington Capitals (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
T.J. Oshie, Washington Capitals (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images) /

The Washington Capitals are in a hole vs the Islanders.

The Washington Capitals find themselves in an 0-2 hole after the first two games of the postseason. Perhaps the best news about this is they didn’t technically lose two home games and they won’t have to go to raucous away atmosphere for two games. The bad news doesn’t change. Washington will have to win four of their next five games to get out of the first round.

Every game is a chance to learn something, two games in, I believe we have learned some things. Or maybe we have confirmed some things that we might have thought going into this series. Either way, here are a couple of things that we can look at.

The Islanders will work harder than the Capitals

Again, this isn’t something we all didn’t know coming into the series, this is something that has just been confirmed over the first two games.

The Capitals have a lot more skilled players than the New York Islanders. That’s not meant as an insult to the Isles players, it’s just a fact. But we’ve seen how far those skilled players will get you if they don’t work as hard as their opponents. Potential spoiler, it’s not very far. The Caps had a lot more skill than the Hurricanes a year ago and Carolina knocked out Washington in round number one.

There is one moment that particularly irritates me about watching game two however. The score is 3-2 with less than five minutes to go. The Capitals are down 0-1 in the series and have been talking about how they’ll win this game for an injured teammate. You’d think that being down a goal late in the game you would see urgency and you would see them winning races and battles.

It was the opposite in my eyes. It was New York who was winning the races and winning battles and the Capitals could hardly hold onto the puck. To make matters worse, it was pressure from the Isles that led to a goal just a couple of minutes later to make it 4-2 and basically end the game.

How the team who is down in the game late and down in the series gets outworked is beyond me. I don’t understand how a team as good as the Capitals lets that happen. Bad team I would understand, not this team.

High danger shot attempts is a stat I like to look at during games and series. It can (and just as easily cannot) tell you how hard a team is willing to battle. How well are teams getting into the high danger areas in the middle of the ice? Those hard to get to areas that you might take punishment for if you go there.

So far New York is more than doubling up the Capitals in this stat. In two games in this series the high danger attempts while 5v5 are 24-10. High danger goals are 5-2. This is where goals are scored in the playoffs. If you’re losing this battle badly you better hope you’re getting good goaltending. Or else, good luck!

Lars Eller, Washington Capitals (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
Lars Eller, Washington Capitals (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images) /

The Capitals cannot play a full sixty minutes

This is one of those statements that kind of frustrate me. It’s hard to play a great game for sixty minutes. A sports game, no matter what game you’re playing has mountains and valleys. Momentum swings in games and you try to wrestle it back if you lose it.

That being said, the Capitals don’t seem to care to play sixty minutes. This team, for the entire season has seemed to be content in playing 20-30 minutes and hoping that would be enough. With the amount of talent this team has, on a lot of nights playing that amount of time was good enough. It was clearly enough, in the regular season they won 41 of the 69 games they played using this mindset.

This won’t work in the playoffs. If you fall behind it’s going to be a lot harder to come back. As good as it is to have a mindset that you can come from behind, it’s not as easy in the playoffs. You can probably pick on a bad San Jose Sharks team in the regular season to make historic comebacks, but great teams will lock it down. That’s who is in the playoffs, great teams.

If you get an early lead and play iffy defense these great teams will mount comebacks. That’s what seemed to happen in game two vs the Islanders. The Capitals came out flying, scored a goal in less than a minute, continued to put on pressure. Then the Islanders got their footing and never looked back. The Capitals had a +9 edge in shots attempts more than halfway through the first period. After the period ended New York had a +3 edge in the same stat.

In game two the Capitals played well for about 10-12 minutes then it was mostly New York. The Capitals had small stretches throughout the game to pull the possession numbers closer, but they never looked super threatening.

This goes hand and hand with what we mentioned before. The Islanders will work and play hard all game. Washington has got to match that and play for longer than 10, 15 or 30 minutes. They have got to find a way to play as close to a 60 minute game as possible. You know the Islanders will, Washington has to match that.

Braden Holtby, Washington Capitals (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
Braden Holtby, Washington Capitals (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images) /

The Capitals need better goaltending

Let me get this straight. I know the goaltending position for the Capitals has been a touchy subject this season. I am in no way blaming Holtby for how this series has gone so far. You could maybe blame him for game 1, but he’s not alone in the blame for that game. It’s not that Holtby has been awful, he just needs to be a bit better.

So far in the playoffs, in the five games that Braden Holtby has played, he has a 3.21 goals against average and a .887 save percentage. I’m going to go out on a limb and say those numbers are not going to get it done. So far in these playoffs Holtby has given up 16 goals, that the fourth most in the league in this restart.

Holtby also has a high danger save percentage of .739, that is ninth worst in the league. Something I’d like to point out here is that Holtby has faced 46 high danger shots, that’s the fourth most. The goalies around him have all played a full game more than him as well. Of the 16 goals against Holtby so far, 12 are high danger.

Just to compare, lets look at Semyon Varlamov’s stats. He has a 1.85 GAA, a .929 save percentage, and a .850 high danger save percentage. He has 40 high danger shots against in 6 games played.

More. Washington Capitals drop Game 2 to Islanders. light

Again, this is not on Holtby alone. This is a full team issue. Holtby is a part of this team and in my opinion, he has to be better. If the team continues to play the way they are now, they’ll need Holtby to be a ton better and probably even steal this series.

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